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21/11/2024

05/09/2024

27/08/2024

Great Barrier Reef never better

Annual measurements since 1986 show their highest point for 2024

But you won't know because

1) The measuring institute stopped publishing a reef-wide index when things got too good. Instead, their 2024 report, published this week, mostly talk up all the potential problems. Graphic here is best reef-wide estimate given their own data

2) News outlets instead look for a new scare story, which they also found this week when studies show that reef-wide temperatures highest in 400 years, with widespread bleaching

So, they tell us next year, data will look much worse

But remember, there have been five reef-wide bleaching events in the past eight years: 2016, 2017, 2020, 2022 and 2024, yet the outcome of the first four is that the reef now has more coral cover than ever.

Yes, Jan-March temperatures in 2024 are marginally higher (0.06°C higher than the previous max temp in 2022), which two years later led to the highest coral cover ever.

Perhaps it is time we start asking for news that isn't always biased toward gloom

Data and more info: https://x.com/BjornLomborg/status/1809547890576036291 and https://x.com/BjornLomborg/status/1809610575602987236

Temperatures: https://nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07672-x, fig 1f

You can see all the references in my Twitter thread:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1821893710197432617

20/08/2024

15/07/2024

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